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#89943

Discuss anything Huey Lewis related in this thread.

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  • #89732

    So Elon Musk wants to buy Twitter for $43B

    Thoughts? Opinions?

    Mine: Higher Powers that be help us all if that deal is made…

  • #89748

    So Elon Musk wants to buy Twitter for $43B

    Thoughts? Opinions?

    Mine: Higher Powers that be help us all if that deal is made…

    Twitter Adopts ‘Poison Pill’ Defense To Thwart Elon Musk Takeover

    I think if Musk is successful and goes crazy they way people are thinking he will, there could be a mass exodus from the platform and it could do long term damage to the platform.

    I personally barely use Twitter. I have just never warmed up to the platform.

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  • #89900

    Poor Alex Jones and InfoWars… It might have been his “take” on Sandy Hook, you think?

    https://news.yahoo.com/alex-jones-infowars-files-bankruptcy-071324206.html

  • #89902

    Poor Alex Jones and InfoWars… It might have been his “take” on Sandy Hook, you think?

    https://news.yahoo.com/alex-jones-infowars-files-bankruptcy-071324206.html

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  • #89908

    It isn’t likely that Jones is actually bankrupt (except in the moral sense), he’s just filing for bankruptcy protection to put all legal suits on hold and to avoid having to pay any settlements. In that respect he is following in the footsteps of his fellow scumbag Donald Trump

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  • #90081

    Question is whether he can keep going in another form – in contrast to Trump, I think all of his eggs are in the infowar basket?

    Couldn’t happen to a better person anyway. I hope he finally slouches off and disappears and dies a few years down the line off alcolholism without anybody taking notice.

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    Ben
  • #90083

  • #90112

    SNL take on Elon Musk offer.

    Watch at 1:20…

  • #90167

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  • #90210

    Not that there aren’t a lot of motherfuckers who complain about it all the time, “Oh this was so long ago what do we even have to do with it anymore” bla bla bla.

    But yes, Germany is actually pretty good at this. Funnily enough, that is probably because the US constructed the German state in that way in post-war Germany. But then, it’s always easier to see how somebody else should examine their faults than to do it with your own.

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  • #90284

    dies a few years down the line off alcoholism without anybody taking notice.

    while that is one way he could go. I personally hope he gets shot accidentally(drive by, wrong place, wrong time) because of his asshole take on Sandy Hook. I know wanting someone to get shot is rough but I am a big believer in Karma.

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  • #90320

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  • #90540

    Uh oh…

    https://www.wsj.com/amp/articles/twitter-and-elon-musk-strike-deal-for-takeover-11650912837

  • #90541

    So Elon Musk wants to buy Twitter for $43B

    Thoughts? Opinions?

    Mine: Higher Powers that be help us all if that deal is made…

    It would be bad for twitter and bad for Musk… so a win-win for the rest of us.

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  • #90544

    I barely use Twitter. I read the occasional tweets but that’s about it. I don’t see my usage patterns changing at all with Musk taking over.

  • #90549

    Then again, we must think about the larger picture of what will now be allowed.

    Media supposedly influences the masses and a crucial election is coming in 2024.

    FRNkfXvUUAEAmab

    • This reply was modified 2 years ago by Al-x.
    • This reply was modified 2 years ago by Al-x.
    • This reply was modified 2 years ago by Al-x.
  • #90570

    Like most social media Twitter is very much customisable to see what you want to see. I doubt much would change for me with Musk’s ownership.

    His libertarian view on speech though means I expect Trump and a few far right characters (that I don’t follow) will reappear after bans. There may well be more tolerance of racism and misogyny. It’s going to be more toxic I imagine.

     

  • #90575

    I wouldn’t be surprised if there’s about six months where anyone high profile who criticises Musk or any of his phallic substitutes gets censured or banned, at which point he gets bored and sells it at a loss, or chunks of the infrastructure literally catches fire like everything else he touches.

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  • #90583

    The thing that pisses me off the most about Musk buying Twitter is his constant complaining about taxing his wealth because his wealth is “unrealized”. Yet somehow he’s able to outright buy another company for $44 billion. It’s disgusting and shows just how absurd billionaires complaining about unrealized wealth is.

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  • #90584

    Well.. It is true that you can modify the feed and the algorithm will adjust like all the other platforms. And Musk just might get bored and sell it. But… should things in the US get very ugly by 2024 and should this purchase of Twitter be looked at as a contributing factor in moving people… You had fair warning on that scenario.

  • #90594

    I wouldn’t be surprised if there’s about six months where anyone high profile who criticises Musk or any of his phallic substitutes gets censured or banned, at which point he gets bored and sells it at a loss, or chunks of the infrastructure literally catches fire like everything else he touches.

    Then comes the question:

    Who gets the smoldering ruins when Musk sell Twitter at a staggering loss: Zuckerberg and Meta or Bezos and Alphabet?

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  • #90595

    Neither – Ten Cent

  • #90619

    Harvard pledges $100 million to atone for role in slavery

    Better late than never, I suppose.

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  • #90635

    Who gets the smoldering ruins when Musk sell Twitter at a staggering loss: Zuckerberg and Meta or Bezos and Alphabet?

    History would suggest that if Twitter gets sold at a loss it’ll be in permanent decline. When people stop using a social media or web service they almost never come back.

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  • #90636

    History would suggest that if Twitter gets sold at a loss it’ll be in permanent decline. When people stop using a social media or web service they almost never come back.

    Curious… Where will they go to? What social media platform will take in some mass migration?

  • #90645

    Probably something that we don’t know about yet.

    I’m not saying a big decline will necessarily happen either but I think something like Twitter has peaked. It actually commands a much bigger profile than it should based on user numbers because its open format allows journalists access to important figures, be it celebs or politicians, and it’s very easy to write an article of embedded tweets.

    Some decline I think is hidden in questionable data too. I was looking at Facebook stats and their reports of ever growing engagement seems to run  very counter to what I’m seeing, which is a nearly dead newsfeed with about 10 of the 600 people on my friends list posting anything regularly. Even in groups I belong to like one with old photos of my home town used to have hundreds of posts a day 10 years ago and now just get a trickle. I think more are communicating directly on Whatsapp.

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  • #90657

    5B00735E-7845-4AAE-81F8-B210B3C46B12

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  • #90689

    All the Russian oligarchs who have died under strange conditions this year | Fortune

    Last week, two more Russian oligarchs were found dead alongside their families within 48 hours of each other in alleged murder-suicides. They’re the latest of a series of high-profile Russians to die in mysterious circumstances in recent months.

    It’s not the first time there have been reports about Russian officials dying suspiciously, and Russian President Vladimir Putin has long been known to take extreme measures to silence his opponents. In 2017, USA TODAY published an investigative report detailing at least 38 oligarchs who died or went missing over a three-year span.

    In the early months of 2022, at least six prominent members of Russia’s upper class have been found dead under strange conditions.

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  • #90876

    US Urban decay is nothing new. There are follow up vids in that thread of LA, Boston, Detroit…

    • This reply was modified 1 year, 12 months ago by Al-x.
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  • #90882

    US Urban decay is nothing new. There are follow up vids in that thread of LA, Boston, Detroit…

    Honestly though, the problem isn’t that the cities don’t have enough money. It’s how they use it.

    California cities spent huge share of federal Covid relief funds on police | US policing | The Guardian

    As part of the American Rescue Plan Act (Arpa), the Biden administration’s signature stimulus package, the US government sent funds to cities to help them fight coronavirus and support local recovery efforts. The money, officials said, could be used to fund a range of services, including public health and housing initiatives, healthcare workers’ salaries, infrastructure investments and aid for small businesses.

    But most large California cities spent millions of Arpa dollars on law enforcement. Some also gave police money from the Coronavirus Aid, Relief and Economic Security (Cares) Act, adopted in 2020 under Donald Trump.

    Now, I don’t support any defunding police initiatives. In fact, I think more black lives would be lost if policing was severely lessened. But I don’t think they need more money.

    On the other hand, every time the police budget is threatened, there seems to be a “surprising” increase in the crime rate. Personally, I think there is a quite predictable and intentional decrease in police performance.

  • #90883

    Now, I don’t support any defunding police initiatives.

    Same here for the most part. Although from many of the police pictures and footage, so many departments have military equipment (including tanks) and soldier gear. All that for city problems? Pickpockets and whatnot?

    The slogan should have been reform the police. The recruiting and screening of who should wear the badge and especially the gun are very poorly done and awful. Remember that man who did those attacks on Asians last year near Atlanta, the chief said in the press conference that the guy “had a bad day”. Never mind the racial profiling, stopping black and Hispanic drivers, George Floyd, Rodney King…

    A member here (not mentioning names) posted a while back that the US police dept. were an outgrowth of those deputized posses in the South that gathered together to chase after runaway slaves. I had to look it up and that member was right.

    https://naacp.org/find-resources/history-explained/origins-modern-day-policing

    As for urban decay, guess the demographics of most of those urban city areas. Think of the “White flight” situation in the past, the areas that get more funding.

  • #90902

    I do support defunding the police initiatives. Because I think police in the US have been tasked with too much, some of which they are not equipped to be responsible for. Namely, mental health issues. We have people who study and train for how to deal with mental health issues. They should be leveraged and utilized properly so the police can focus on crime. Hell, we should really be trying to train military vets as social workers to help with this issue. Would be a great way to help out vets who need a career. Which means diverting funds from police to social services.

    Also, as Al pointed out, the money to fund police is more and more frequently being used to militarize police forces.

    I agree that the branding is bad (lots of liberal branding sucks) but I also don’t really trust simple police reform. The systems are so terrible and the police are far too resistant to change (or any criticism at all). So yeah, reallocate funds to take some responsibility away from police and find ways to demilitarize these forces.

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  • #90903

    Working for a city, I have interactions with police at all levels. Having talked and worked with them and knowing some things about them that I do, it is really easy to see what the core problem is.

    They believe they are always right and everyone else is wrong. The gun and the badge just reinforce that.

    They have a mindset that they are indoctrinated in from early on (hell, the entertainment industry is a big contributor to that) and is passed on and reinforced. It is a mindset that needs to be purged from law enforcement and replaced with something better. Cops also need to stop hiding behind the “blue wall of silence” and speak up when they see something wrong. Bad cops need to be removed from service and and never be able to be a law enforcement officer again. Bad cops need to be punished whenever they they step out of line and punished hard. Do that long enough and often enough, that will send a very clear message. Remove limited immunity so they can’t hide behind that either.

    But really, change that mindset and you will have begun genuine police reform.

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  • #90910

    Unfortunately, too often when police are criticized or slapped on the wrist (in NYC, at least), they respond by staging slowdowns and “blue flu” and other retaliations to punish the mayor or city councillors that criticized them. The current mayor in New York is a former cop, but that hasn’t given him any more control over the NYPD than any previous mayors. Case in point: when Mayor Adams threatened to crack down on transit cops “who spend too much time on their cellphones instead of patrolling”, the union responded to the effect that it’s the government’s fault for insisting that cops carry cellphones.

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  • #90913

    I agree that the branding is bad (lots of liberal branding sucks) but I also don’t really trust simple police reform.

    Yeah I mean the branding sucks because ‘defund’ reads to many logically as ‘disband’.

    To be fair if I read a right wing source saying ‘defund Planned Parenthood’ I would read that as cutting all funds and shutting it down, not reduce the budget by 30% and invest more in social care and mental health support. It has been noted even minorities that face most of the issues recoil at ‘defund’ because they want protection when needed.

    The truth is that reform is the correct word but in the past that has meant insignificant changes that don’t touch the core of the problem so activists struggle to support it.

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  • #90938

    Honestly though, the problem isn’t that the cities don’t have enough money. It’s how they use it.

    Can’t it be two things?

  • #90942

    Yeah I mean the branding sucks because ‘defund’ reads to many logically as ‘disband’.

    Look, we had to compromise somewhere and wound up saying “OK, we can’t disband the police just yet”

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  • #90944

    Cops also need to stop hiding behind the “blue wall of silence” and speak up when they see something wrong.

    Amen. That cop knelt on George Floyd’s neck for almost 10 minutes and THREE! officers did nothing to stop him.
    The screening process needs to be reformed. As it is, the cops in the Hood city areas act like an occupying army.
    Never mind reports of officers with ties to certain organizations…

    As for NY mayor Eric Adams… He is a former policeman and he was beaten up by the cops when he was 15 years old.

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  • #91073

    Sooo apparently now Finland and Sweden are thinking of joining NATO… wow, someone REEEEALLY wants to start WW3, don’t they? u_u

  • #91075

    Well, “someone” really wants to sell the weapons for it.

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/williamhartung/2022/03/18/were-1-the-us-government-is-the-worlds-largest-arms-dealer/?sh=63a9ecce5bb9#:~:text=In%20essence%2C%20the%20U.S.%20government,the%20responsibility%20that%20that%20entails.

     

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  • #91079

    Sooo apparently now Finland and Sweden are thinking of joining NATO… wow, someone REEEEALLY wants to start WW3, don’t they? u_u

    If I lived in Finland, I would want to join NATO too. Looking at recent history, I notice that Russia has invaded many bordering countries that aren’t members of NATO but has never invaded a country that is. So joining is just common sense really.

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  • #91099

    Sooo apparently now Finland and Sweden are thinking of joining NATO… wow, someone REEEEALLY wants to start WW3, don’t they? u_u

    I assume “someone” is Vladimir Putin?

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  • #91127

    NATO membership comes with a lot of expense and a country could find itself obligated to get involved with military action that is not in its interests. There is no guarantee that joining NATO would stop Russia from invading and it could attract more aggressive military buildup right on its border.
    Also, if Russia did invade any NATO member, suddenly you’re obligated to go to war. This is pretty much how the other World Wars started. It would turn Finland into the front lines of any conflict whereas neutrality would be preferable.

  • #91129

    That’s how they thought for a long time, as well. Currently, they’re more afraid of Russia simply deciding to attack them.

    I wonder if Putin factored all of this into his plans. Savy as he usually is, I doubt that the growth of NATO is an effect he would have wanted.

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    Ben
  • #91136

    It’s still good thinking. I wouldn’t trust America or NATO to actually follow through if Russia took any military action in Latvia or Estonia.

    The question is whether the US or the NATO states really factored in Russia’s very predictable response to their expansion.

  • #91146

    I assume “someone” is Vladimir Putin?

    Sure, maybe… he wouldn’t be the only one though… lots of other people stand to benefit more from this conflict than him.

    If I lived in Finland, I would want to join NATO too. Looking at recent history, I notice that Russia has invaded many bordering countries that aren’t members of NATO but has never invaded a country that is. So joining is just common sense really.

    Now that you mention it, you know who else invades many countries that aren’t members of NATO? yup… you guessed it. So maybe it IS a good idea after all… :unsure:

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  • #91153

    The question is whether the US or the NATO states really factored in Russia’s very predictable response to their expansion.

    Oh, there’s no question at all that they fucked up that part. That much we all know.

    Doesn’t mean Putin hasn’t fucked up, as well, though, in not anticipating Finland and Sweden’s and other countries’ predictable responses to his Russia’s invasion of a neighbouring country.

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  • #91154

    The question is whether the US or the NATO states really factored in Russia’s very predictable response to their expansion.

    It’s quite a delayed response though isn’t it? It’s been 18 years since a country neighbouring Russia has joined NATO.

    Recently it’s just Albania and North Macedonia two tiny countries on the Med that are 4 nations deep away from Russia.

    I’m not necessarily proclaiming that the way NATO have acted is blameless but there seems very little there to suddenly prompt Putin to go start bombing Ukraine. He’s made it pretty clear he thinks Ukraine, or large parts of it at least, belong to Russia.

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  • #91159

    In fairness it is pretty outrageous how so many countries have deliberately upset Russia by taking steps to ensure that they aren’t invaded by Russia.

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  • #91161

    I’m not necessarily proclaiming that the way NATO have acted is blameless but there seems very little there to suddenly prompt Putin to go start bombing Ukraine. He’s made it pretty clear he thinks Ukraine, or large parts of it at least, belong to Russia.

    Also very clear that he doesn’t think there is something like a Ukranian culture or a Ukranian people. His aim is to wipe out that notion and to make it all Russian; he’s stated that pretty clear. Jonny’s cynicism about NATO, justified or not (and I certainly think it is at least to some extent), doesn’t change any of that.

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  • #91169

    I agree that Russia’s aim may be to destroy Ukraine, and that is exactly what is happening. However, the United States and NATO is not helping Ukraine. The primary strategic goal for Russia is to prevent Ukraine from becoming a base for Western and primarily US influence. The US goal is to hurt Russia and it’s spending Ukrainian lives to do it. Meanwhile it is increasing arms sales and making sales pitches to other nations to recruit them into its market/protection racket. It’s like sending a boxer back into the ring round after round even though he’ll never leave the ring alive just because we want to hurt the other opponent as much as possible without having to actually fight him.

    What’s the end goal? Declare victory on a pile of rubble and piles ofUkrainian and Russian corpses?

    I’m sure there are a lot of Ukrainian volunteers but all men 18-40 were essentially drafted into the fight and the Russians are also mostly obligated to fight. So, I think the majority of people actually fighting are essentially being forced to. What freedoms are we supporting in all these profitable arms deals supplying the conflict?

    From supplying the resistance fighters in Afghanistan to the Syrian rebels recently, US military “aid” hasn’t been good for the nations and people receiving it and brings us closer to starting even more horrible wars. Even before fighting breaks out, we will usually find out that US agents or officials or proxies were already involved in stirring things up including meddling in elections to even assassinating political rivals.

     

     

     

     

  • #91171

    The US goal is to hurt Russia and it’s spending Ukrainian lives to do it.

    You make it sound like there is no Ukrainian agency in this, which I think is grossly unfair on the Ukrainian people who have 100% ownership of their own choices. The US didn’t tell Ukraine to oppose Russia, Ukraine decided, by themselves, to oppose Russia, and then *begged* the West to help them.

    Certainly US arms manufacturers are profiting from this, and they are probably hoping the war goes on and on. But they are not the ones making the decisions to fight.

     

    the Russians are also mostly obligated to fight.

    This is quite an interesting point, because no they actually are not. Russia’s laws say that you can leave army service at any time, just like quitting any job,  *if* the country is not at war. And currently the country is not “at war”, according to Putin.

    Russia is already struggling with soldiers just going home, and there’s nothing they can do to stop them (nothing legal — they can heavily lean on them and threaten them, but would you want an armed man under your command who you’ve bullied into being there?).

    Russia also can’t send in any of their conscripts, because that’s illegal under Russian law when the country is not at war. (Evidence suggests they actually are doing it — but again, that doesn’t make for an army you would want to rely on.)

    So a sizeable chunk of the Russian army is now composed of “separatists” from eastern Ukraine who have been forcibly drafted to fight for their “independence” from Kyiv. You can probably guess how well that is working for them.

     

    So, I think the majority of people actually fighting are essentially being forced to.

    I’m in pretty much daily contact with friends in Kharkiv, and the story I’m getting is that Ukrainians are fighting because they want to survive, not because Biden or even Zelensky is forcing them to.

     

    • This reply was modified 1 year, 11 months ago by DavidM.
    • This reply was modified 1 year, 11 months ago by DavidM.
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  • #91175

    I don’t disagree as far as the war profiteering that’s going on is concerned, and yes, this is turning very much into the kind of proxy war we have had in the past.

    I do think there is an important difference though, in that there wasn’t a civil war going on in the first place. It could be argued that both Russia and the Western nations tried to stir one up in recent years, but that’s not quite what happened, so Russia didn’t have a Ukranian faction to support from behind the shadows, the way both sides have done in Syria.

    What’s the end goal? Declare victory on a pile of rubble and piles of Ukrainian and Russian corpses?

    I’m sure there are a lot of Ukrainian volunteers but all men 18-40 were essentially drafted into the fight and the Russians are also mostly obligated to fight. So, I think the majority of people actually fighting are essentially being forced to. What freedoms are we supporting in all these profitable arms deals supplying the conflict?

    What’s the alternative to supporting Ukraine? Telling them to give up, to submit to the invasion and letting themselves be genocided (at the very least culturally, possibly more than that)? Is that less cynical or more so?

    I argued similarly to the way you are doing when it came to the conflict in Syria. After Russia backed Assad, it was clear that this war was lost and that supporting the opposition would only lead to more bloodshed and destruction. But that was in a fragmented country that was fighting a civil war, with splintered opposition groups. Ukraine is a different case, and one where refusing to help people desperately asking for international help would on the whole be worse than helping them – even if that means supporting them in fighting a terrible war.

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  • #91176

    This is quite an interesting point, because no they actually are not. Russia’s laws say that you can leave army service at any time, just like quitting any job,  *if* the country is not at war. And currently the country is not “at war”, according to Putin.

    On a sidenote: My kid recently showed my a clip that showed military recruitment videos from three different countries – the US, China and Russia. It was quite fascinating. The US is these days of course putting an emphasis on diversity and responsibility and personal opportunity. China on the strength of their fatherland and patriotism. Russia… Russia’s video was just fucking scary, really, because it focuses entirely on the joy of becoming a killing machine.

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  • #91179

    Vandals have desecrated a WW2 military cemetary here in the Netherlands with texts saying “Slava Ukraini”, “fuck Putin”, “Azov”, and swastikas. Now the question is was that done by Ukrainians or Russians doing a “flase flag”. Any way, it’s quite unpleasant.

     

    edit: they made a grammatical error, writing “slava ukraine” instead of “ukraini” which would be correct in Ukrainian, and “ukraine” is correct in Russian…sooooo not Ukrainians probably but Russians making it look like Ukrainians. (Or Dutch nazis I guess)

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  • #91183

    You make it sound like there is no Ukrainian agency in this, which I think is grossly unfair on the Ukrainian people who have 100% ownership of their own choices. The US didn’t tell Ukraine to oppose Russia, Ukraine decided, by themselves, to oppose Russia, and then *begged* the West to help them.

    This can be a problem, while they are undeniably influential the world does not revolve solely around the USA. A bit of an adjunct to American exceptionalism from a different direction.

    Ukraine doesn’t like being invaded and wants to fight back, that’s a fairly universal response as is conscription in those circumstances.

    The Guardian’s daily podcast had an episode on the Roe v Wade repeal this week and the US based journalist was asked what this means globally. The answer was the US was a leading country in legalising abortion and others could copy what they do as they did then. No they weren’t leading, they did it 6 years after the UK and many other European countries and in truth it is a domestic policy issue. The example then came of Hungary and Poland who have enacted similar restrictive approaches but umm, they did it first so why isn’t it couched as the US following Hungary’s lead?

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  • #91184

    I don’t disagree as far as the war profiteering that’s going on is concerned, and yes, this is turning very much into the kind of proxy war we have had in the past.

    I do think there is an important difference though, in that there wasn’t a civil war going on in the first place. It could be argued that both Russia and the Western nations tried to stir one up in recent years, but that’s not quite what happened, so Russia didn’t have a Ukranian faction to support from behind the shadows, the way both sides have done in Syria.

    What’s the end goal? Declare victory on a pile of rubble and piles of Ukrainian and Russian corpses?

    I’m sure there are a lot of Ukrainian volunteers but all men 18-40 were essentially drafted into the fight and the Russians are also mostly obligated to fight. So, I think the majority of people actually fighting are essentially being forced to. What freedoms are we supporting in all these profitable arms deals supplying the conflict?

    What’s the alternative to supporting Ukraine? Telling them to give up, to submit to the invasion and letting themselves be genocided (at the very least culturally, possibly more than that)? Is that less cynical or more so?

    I argued similarly to the way you are doing when it came to the conflict in Syria. After Russia backed Assad, it was clear that this war was lost and that supporting the opposition would only lead to more bloodshed and destruction. But that was in a fragmented country that was fighting a civil war, with splintered opposition groups. Ukraine is a different case, and one where refusing to help people desperately asking for international help would on the whole be worse than helping them – even if that means supporting them in fighting a terrible war.

    That’s part of the question here. First, I think the US government pushed Ukraine into this war and did so for its own interests. I don’t think providing military support to Ukraine will end in anything other than the continued and worsening destruction of the country and less likelihood that Ukraine remains intact or independent.

    Millions of Ukrainians have already left and I bet they’ll return about as quickly as our Cambodian, Vietnamese and Cuban refugees have. Or the Syrian refugees.

    Obviously, I don’t think there is a good solution or more specifically that the solution was diplomatic and should have happened almost a decade ago. But it’s not a solution that the US wants.

    I’m concerned that the avenues to a peaceful solution are being ignored or downplayed while the narrative that the Ukraine is somehow winning even though its cities and infrastructure are being destroyed and its people killed or sent fleeing their homes is dominant.

    Meanwhile, Putin is only getting stronger in Russia and America more influential in Western Europe. I think that new Cold War mentality will only strengthen autocracy worldwide as even Western democracies will ignore human rights to maintain expedient alliances like with China and Saudi Arabia. The US, France and UK supplied the weapons for the war in Yemen and that remains a humanitarian crisis on the scale of or greater than Ukraine today.

    However, no one is really openly considering a path to peace because the same people selling us on the Invasion of Iraq or regime change in Syria are now telling us that Putin is the next Hitler so we can’t even think of negotiating with Russia until he’s overthrown. Even though the US and European nations will almost certainly have new leaders before Putin leaves power in Russia.

  • #91191

    That’s part of the question here. First, I think the US government pushed Ukraine into this war and did so for its own interests.

    I can’t imagine that. I mean, I am sure the US was pushing Ukraine into a Western direction and and pursuing their own agenda with that, but I doubt very much that the plan was to provoke Russia into a war. That shit is costing us all too much (including Russia, of course).

    and less likelihood that Ukraine remains intact or independent.

    Less likey compared to what would’ve happened if they’d surrendered after a week?

    Again, I think that’s highly unlikely. The war sucks for Russians, too, and it will do so even more when the Ukranians get more weapons in support. Russia would still win, but it’s more likely they’ll grant Ukraine some form of independence the higher the cost of war is as it goes on.

    I’m concerned that the avenues to a peaceful solution are being ignored or downplayed while the narrative that the Ukraine is somehow winning even though its cities and infrastructure are being destroyed and its people killed or sent fleeing their homes is dominant.

    There hasn’t been any indication that Putin is going to accept any peaceful solution outside of total surrender by Ukraine, which the Ukrainian government won’t accept. I don’t see what anybody could’ve done to change that, except for leaving Ukraine to fight alone and be crushed more quickly.

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  • #91196

    There hasn’t been any indication that Putin is going to accept any peaceful solution outside of total surrender by Ukraine

    It’s not like efforts haven’t been made, Macron has sat down to help negotiate, the Turkish have too.

    Ukraine conceded very early on not to join NATO, so if that’s the primary issue why isn’t the war over?

    2 users thanked author for this post.
  • #91197

    Ukraine said bad things about Putin’s mum, so that’s why he has to keep it going.

    Yes, I’m taking the mick but the serious point is Putin clearly wanted to invade no matter what.  He could have stopped it at any point.

    Nor does Ukraine have the ability to do a counter invasion of Russia.  History shows, save for the Mongols, no one successfully invaded Russia.  Despite this Putin’s regime is spinning Ukraine as some existential threat.

    There’s only one way that might be true.  Having a working, functional democracy next door is a threat to Putin’s regime, not Russia.  But even this falls apart under examination as there is also Poland and the Baltic states.

    So what’s left? Petty vindictiveness over slights Ukraine had nothing to do with that has killed thousands.

  • #91198

    Ruskis are bastards and so are we.

     

    edit: I think it’s hilarious btw that the ruble is doing better than the euro right now, it’s higher compared to the euro than before the invasion. The whole approach the West took to sanctioning Russia looks like a “mist on the canal, continent cut off” deal. We overestimated our importance to Russia. The Russian economy is doing pretty well all things considered, while Western Europe is in the cold. Our politicians are complete fucking imbeciles.

  • #91224

    It’s the wonders of economics Arjan, the situation has driven fuel prices sky high and that is Russia’s primary export.  It still costs the same to extract but is demanding more and more in price.

    The problem is that central Europe is still too reliant on Russian gas and are still buying it while sanctioning all other sectors. Currency value is not the only measure of course, sanctions are causing shortages and inability to invest and expand, it’s difficult to say the ‘economy is doing well’ but yes as long as they keep buying the gas and oil it the balance sheet will look good.

  • #91225

    It’s the wonders of economics

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  • #91233

    The Ruble is doing well because Russia is burning hundreds of billions of its cash reserves to keep it afloat. I don’t pretend to understand economics, but common sense should tell us that’s not a sustainable solution. Russia is still selling oil, but from what I’ve read they are not getting as much revenue from it as they used to, and in the long term that will continue to drop as Europe finds more alternative sources — the test of this was when Russia threatened to cut Poland off completely a few weeks ago, and Poland just said “ok” and went somewhere else for their oil.

    China will probably buy Russia’s oil in the long term future, but first they’ll need a pipeline going in that direction, and they cost a ton of money to build, and Russia is running out of money. Maybe China will build the pipe for them. And you can just imagine the price that China will be in a position to negotiate for Russian oil when Russia is basically desperate to sell.

  • #91241

    China will probably buy Russia’s oil in the long term future, but first they’ll need a pipeline going in that direction, and they cost a ton of money to build, and Russia is running out of money. Maybe China will build the pipe for them. And you can just imagine the price that China will be in a position to negotiate for Russian oil when Russia is basically desperate to sell.

    A coworker was telling me about Chinese construction deals with other countries. They basically loan the country the money but if a single payment is missed, they foreclose on it and they take it over and control it. I’m sure there’s spy tech built into it so they get that added benefit.

  • #91246

    Russia is still selling oil, but from what I’ve read they are not getting as much revenue from it as they used to,

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/apr/27/russia-doubles-fossil-fuel-revenues-since-invasion-of-ukraine-began

    1 user thanked author for this post.
  • #91247

    Russia is still selling oil, but from what I’ve read they are not getting as much revenue from it as they used to,

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/apr/27/russia-doubles-fossil-fuel-revenues-since-invasion-of-ukraine-began

    That’s honestly hilarious. We punished ourselves by cutting ourselves off from Russian gas and oil and they make more revenue because of it. We’re fucking idiots.

     

    edit: I didn’t see the number is so high because we still import gas and oil from them, I don’t know, I wish we could stop doing that but you can’t completely destroy your own economy either, or let people freeze in their homes.

  • #91253

    That’s honestly hilarious. We punished ourselves by cutting ourselves off from Russian gas and oil and they make more revenue because of it. We’re fucking idiots.

    It’s not quite as simple as that, prices were rising anyway before the invasion. The energy market is a stupid one that is obviously manipulated.

    The ‘idiots’ part is not untrue in many ways but it has always been repeated reliance on a small number of countries that can hold you by the balls. Saudi Arabia have caused untold disruption globally with little recourse because they have the most oil. Sanctions or not the price rise was pretty much inevitable, the only answer ever to all of this is as much as possible be self sufficient.

    This is not inevitable, none of these European countries used Russian fossil fuels before the fall of the USSR, they just found it cheaper and fell into that trap.

  • #91273

    That’s honestly hilarious. We punished ourselves by cutting ourselves off from Russian gas and oil and they make more revenue because of it. We’re fucking idiots.

    It’s not quite as simple as that, prices were rising anyway before the invasion. The energy market is a stupid one that is obviously manipulated.

    The ‘idiots’ part is not untrue in many ways but it has always been repeated reliance on a small number of countries that can hold you by the balls. Saudi Arabia have caused untold disruption globally with little recourse because they have the most oil. Sanctions or not the price rise was pretty much inevitable, the only answer ever to all of this is as much as possible be self sufficient.

    This is not inevitable, none of these European countries used Russian fossil fuels before the fall of the USSR, they just found it cheaper and fell into that trap.

    But we still need oil…it’s still the life blood of the economy. You have to get it somewhere, and no country is spotless. So at some point you have to do a deal with some unsavory characters.

  • #91287

    But we still need oil…it’s still the life blood of the economy.

    Which is also due to our idiocy though, it has to be said. We could have gone far greener far earlier, but apparently just when we had realised that we were destroying the basis for our life on this planet far more quickly than we know, everybody also thought it was a good idea to let neo-liberalism dictate the state of the world for a few decades.

  • #91336

    But we still need oil…it’s still the life blood of the economy. You have to get it somewhere, and no country is spotless. So at some point you have to do a deal with some unsavory characters.

    True, albeit the oil demand for Europe is far less than the gas one. The EU has a feasible plan to cut off Russian oil but yeah some will come from the middle east which is hardly any better. You’d have to cut usage a lot more to only rely on ‘friendly’ suppliers like Canada and Norway.

    The gas one is easier to replace with alternate sources like nuclear and renewables but not in the timeframe they’d like. This one really is a self-induced problem, as I said nobody used Russian gas 25 years ago, they went for cheap and easy despite the fact that Russia have repeatedly threatened to cut supplies and hold them hostage before the Ukraine invasion.

  • #91347

    yeah some will come from the middle east which is hardly any better

    The weird thing is much of the evil of the Middle East is supported or caused by Western countries. We supported many of the atrocities in Yemen, we set up the circumstances that led to ISIS etc. We are very selective with our moral indignation. I have seen people here putting Ukrainian flags on their yeards but I have never seen Yemeni flags. Also the amount of coverage it recives, when compared to another war that is going on like the war in Ethiopia, is absurd. Maybe it really is because they look more like us. But it is also because the West wants Ukraine to be part of its sphere of influence.

     

    The Western attitude is completely wrong, we should at least have taken Russia’s concerns seriously. There are 1o million Russian people that live in Ukraine, and they were threatened and discriminated against. Not that I condone anything Putin does either, what he’s doing is outrageous. But all sides in this are assholes.

  • #92100

    Why domestic terrorism needs to be a priority:

    10 dead in mass shooting at Buffalo supermarket

    This better not end like Kyle Rittenhouse.

    3 users thanked author for this post.
  • #92110

    The US is averaging more than 10 mass shootings per week in 2022

    …and we haven’t even gotten to the summer yet, when tempers rise with the temperature.

    3 users thanked author for this post.
  • #92122

    3 users thanked author for this post.
  • #92152

    Not even a day later:

    California churchgoers detained gunman in deadly attack

    1 user thanked author for this post.
  • #92169

    The gunman in the Buffalo shooting believed heavily in this “Replacement Theory” which is a conspiracy that whites are being
    replaced by minorities in the US. It plays into the fears that the country is being taken over, less white, and you know the rest.

    https://www.cnn.com/2022/05/16/politics/replacement-theory-buffalo-what-matters/index.html

    https://www.thedailybeast.com/republicans-must-answer-for-great-replacement-theory-violence

    The latter link mentions some of the talking heads like Tucker Carlson, the Bannon guy who used to be in Tr*mp’s WH, and Rep Elise Stefanik who may not be as widely known to the public as Marjorie and Boebert, but is still the 3rd highest ranking GOPer.

    1 user thanked author for this post.
  • #92174

    Having immense fun trying to even post to this thread. Wondering if I’m getting auto-moderated for something.

    yeah some will come from the middle east which is hardly any better

    The weird thing is much of the evil of the Middle East is supported or caused by Western countries. We supported many of the atrocities in Yemen, we set up the circumstances that led to ISIS etc. We are very selective with our moral indignation. I have seen people here putting Ukrainian flags on their yeards but I have never seen Yemeni flags. Also the amount of coverage it recives, when compared to another war that is going on like the war in Ethiopia, is absurd. Maybe it really is because they look more like us. But it is also because the West wants Ukraine to be part of its sphere of influence.

     

    The Western attitude is completely wrong, we should at least have taken Russia’s concerns seriously. There are 1o million Russian people that live in Ukraine, and they were threatened and discriminated against. Not that I condone anything Putin does either, what he’s doing is outrageous. But all sides in this are assholes.

     

    Yeah. Sorry, no.

    I’ve seen a lot of this over the last couple of months. It’s largely a consequence of a complete misunderstanding of what the Russian Federation actually is, along with, usually, a lack of basic curiosity as to what has actually happened. Pro tip – Russia is an empire, and like most societies with a long tradition of empire (and I’m English, so I should know), its majority culture is chauvinistic and racist, with deeply ingrained imperialistic attitudes at all levels of society. More to the point, that empire is still there – those attitudes may have had generations to fade (often imperfectly) in other countries, but not Russia.

    For years now, the Baltic states have been trying to warn the West that something like this was an inevitability, something that should have been blatantly obvious to anyone who followed the Russian intervention in the Syrian civil war, or looked at its earlier invasions of Chechnya, Moldova, Georgia or, you know, Ukraine back in 2014. We cheerfully ignored them, and took their cheap petrochemicals, despite the climate crisis, despite the increasingly obvious effects of Russian political interference, despite Russian expansionism, atrocities and aggression.

    Another pro-tip: Russia never thought it was under threat itself. It has seven thousand nukes. It thought its plans to absorb Ukraine into its empire was under threat. The two things are not the same. Russia’s “concern” was that it would be unable to continue to place tame gangsters into positions of power and funnel Ukraine’s wealth into Russia.  It wasn’t NATO expansion that set it on this path, either: it was the 2014 uprising that removed the tame gangsters Russia had in place. From that moment on, Putin and his inner circle began their hybrid war campaign against the West (blaming us for the uprising), “annexed” Crimea, and began making preparations to occupy the rest of the country. The Ukrainian’s have known this was coming for a long time.

    Now, I can’t speak to the whole “discrimination against Russians” Kremlin talking point – who knows, it might even be true. I’m deeply sceptical, but stranger things have happened. But let imagine for a minute that it isn’t easily debunked nonsense, shall we? I think there’s some ground between “discrimination” and invading a sovereign country with no pretext other than some ahistorical, quasi-mystical “Duginist” horseshit, and some obviously concocted stories of genocide against Russian speakers. I think there’s some ground between this “discrimination” and reducing entire cities to rubble. Between that and moving troops into suburban areas and killing, torturing and raping men, women and children.

    So no, Arjan. Hard disagree on the “both sides” from me there.

     

    • This reply was modified 1 year, 11 months ago by Daniel R.
    6 users thanked author for this post.
  • #92181

    Having immense fun trying to even post to this thread. Wondering if I’m getting auto-moderated for something.

    yeah some will come from the middle east which is hardly any better

    The weird thing is much of the evil of the Middle East is supported or caused by Western countries. We supported many of the atrocities in Yemen, we set up the circumstances that led to ISIS etc. We are very selective with our moral indignation. I have seen people here putting Ukrainian flags on their yeards but I have never seen Yemeni flags. Also the amount of coverage it recives, when compared to another war that is going on like the war in Ethiopia, is absurd. Maybe it really is because they look more like us. But it is also because the West wants Ukraine to be part of its sphere of influence.

     

    The Western attitude is completely wrong, we should at least have taken Russia’s concerns seriously. There are 1o million Russian people that live in Ukraine, and they were threatened and discriminated against. Not that I condone anything Putin does either, what he’s doing is outrageous. But all sides in this are assholes.

     

    Yeah. Sorry, no.

    I’ve seen a lot of this over the last couple of months. It’s largely a consequence of a complete misunderstanding of what the Russian Federation actually is, along with, usually, a lack of basic curiosity as to what has actually happened. Pro tip – Russia is an empire, and like most societies with a long tradition of empire (and I’m English, so I should know), its majority culture is chauvinistic and racist, with deeply ingrained imperialistic attitudes at all levels of society. More to the point, that empire is still there – those attitudes may have had generations to fade (often imperfectly) in other countries, but not Russia.

    For years now, the Baltic states have been trying to warn the West that something like this was an inevitability, something that should have been blatantly obvious to anyone who followed the Russian intervention in the Syrian civil war, or looked at its earlier invasions of Chechnya, Moldova, Georgia or, you know, Ukraine back in 2014. We cheerfully ignored them, and took their cheap petrochemicals, despite the climate crisis, despite the increasingly obvious effects of Russian political interference, despite Russian expansionism, atrocities and aggression.

    Another pro-tip: Russia never thought it was under threat itself. It has seven thousand nukes. It thought its plans to absorb Ukraine into its empire was under threat. The two things are not the same. Russia’s “concern” was that it would be unable to continue to place tame gangsters into positions of power and funnel Ukraine’s wealth into Russia.  It wasn’t NATO expansion that set it on this path, either: it was the 2014 uprising that removed the tame gangsters Russia had in place. From that moment on, Putin and his inner circle began their hybrid war campaign against the West (blaming us for the uprising), “annexed” Crimea, and began making preparations to occupy the rest of the country. The Ukrainian’s have known this was coming for a long time.

    Now, I can’t speak to the whole “discrimination against Russians” Kremlin talking point – who knows, it might even be true. I’m deeply sceptical, but stranger things have happened. But let imagine for a minute that it isn’t easily debunked nonsense, shall we? I think there’s some ground between “discrimination” and invading a sovereign country with no pretext other than some ahistorical, quasi-mystical “Duginist” horseshit, and some obviously concocted stories of genocide against Russian speakers. I think there’s some ground between this “discrimination” and reducing entire cities to rubble. Between that and moving troops into suburban areas and killing, torturing and raping men, women and children.

    So no, Arjan. Hard disagree on the “both sides” from me there.

     

    • This reply was modified 1 year, 11 months ago by Daniel R.

    Yup, exactly my point on the “NATO expansion”. Only Albania and Northern Macedonia have joined in recent years, tiny countries with tiny armies and not bordering Russia. Estonia has 1.5m people, there are bigger cities all around Europe.

    None of them offer any threat, the threat is the UK and France. They are the only countries in Europe that have nuclear weapons and conventional forces that could defeat Russia and have been in NATO since inception (Germany has the largest population but restrictions on defence since WW2).  I actually wouldn’t have been as confident on the conventional piece until we’d seen what a pigs ear they have made of Ukraine, now I know if UK and French forces went in tomorrow Russia would be fucked.

    We know that the Trident system means that even if Moscow wiped out the UK so everyone was dead they can still retaliate and wipe them out too as the arsenal is offshore in submarines. In our wonderful system of mutually assured destruction none of these countries can confront each other directly.

    I could supply an endless list of shitty things France and the UK have done over the years, as with the US, they aren’t necessarily ‘good guys’ and we have a duty to call our shit out but this entire conflict is at Putin’s door. Nobody else asked for it and if his aim was to curtail NATO then he’s done the exact opposite with Sweden and Finland wanting to join for one simple reason, if their borders are crossed they want the US, UK and France to defend them. They didn’t join before because they trusted that wouldn’t happen, just as Ukraine did when they handed over their nukes with a promise none of the nuclear powers would ever attack them, in retrospect they maybe should have held on.

    If there are people in eastern Ukraine that want to be Russian then just poll them rather than bomb them.

     

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  • #92183

    If there are people in eastern Ukraine that want to be Russian then just poll them rather than bomb them.

    They don’t want to be Russian, they are Russian. (I mean some of them, not all of Eastern Ukraine.)

     

    They had a poll, and they said Eastern Ukraine voted for independence from Ukraine, but I don’t trust the outcome, there was likely fraud. The demographics in Donbas are confusing, but most people there don’t identify as Russian. I do trust the poll in Crimea that said they wanted to join Russia. Most people in Crimea identify as Russian and they were traditionally pro-Putin (which could change of course.)

  • #92184

    I took a poll of the two people I know in Ukraine (I actually know three, but one went silent in late March and we fear the worst :wacko: ), one in the east and one in the west, and they both want to be Ukrainian.

    I realise this is not statistically significant, but it’s good enough for me.

     

    1 user thanked author for this post.
  • #92185

    I also took a poll of one of the people I know from Russia, and she wants to be English, which I think is a good enough reason for us to invade Russia and bring it into the English Empire.

  • #92186

    The demographics in Donbas are confusing, but most people there don’t identify as Russian.

    No they don’t. So is invading and killing is the worst method to possibly work out that issue? I’d think so.

    2 users thanked author for this post.
  • #92187

    I mean referendum rather than poll – usually when you do a referedum, everyone in the area concerned can vote. ;)

     

    A friend of mine has been in the Ukraine a couple of times, and he told me many of the people he met in Odessa and some cities in the East didn’t regard themselves as Ukrainian or Russian, they still thought of themselves as Soviet citizens. The Donbas did well economically in the Soviet era, and after that the region declined, so I think there was some nostalgia among some of those people for that time. He was there in 2008, 2009 or around that time. Maybe some of those people became pro-Putin because Putin also flirts with Soviet legacy.

  • #92188

    So is invading and killing is the worst method to possibly work out that issue? I’d think so.

    Of course, I agree. Please don’t think I condone anything Putin is doing.

  • #92189

    (I actually know three, but one went silent in late March and we fear the worst

    I’m so sorry, I didn’t see this the first time I read your post, I hope he or she is alright.

    1 user thanked author for this post.
  • #92192

    (I actually know three, but one went silent in late March and we fear the worst

    I’m so sorry, I didn’t see this the first time I read your post, I hope he or she is alright.

    Thanks. We literally have no idea at this point. It’s someone I only know from an online forum, so there’s no-one we know from their “real” life we could contact. Pretty much the same as when people stop posting here. It’s a very fragile connection we all share.

     

     

    1 user thanked author for this post.
    Ben
  • #92193

    Do you know what city or region of the couuntry they’re from?

  • #92194

    South east is all I know. I can guess at the city, as the last message anyone got was basically “my city is being bombed”.

    And by ridiculous coincidence, we just got a message in the last half hour! No details, but at least they are alive!

    Maybe we were silly to assume the worst. I mean, if I was being invaded the last thing I would think of is posting on an internet music forum, even if I was safe.

     

    • This reply was modified 1 year, 11 months ago by DavidM.
    2 users thanked author for this post.
  • #92196

    South east is all I know. I can guess at the city, as the last message anyone got was basically “my city is being bombed”.

    And by ridiculous coincidence, we just got a message in the last half hour! No details, but at least they are alive!

    Maybe we were silly to assume the worst. I mean, if I was being invaded the last thing I would think of is posting on an internet music forum, even if I was safe.

     

    • This reply was modified 1 year, 11 months ago by DavidM.

    Wow, that is amazing. I am glad they’re still with us.

  • #92252

    More on the 18 year old gunman. His father gave him a bolt action rifle as a Christmas present when he was 16. The semiautomatic he used he actually modified it to shoot more rounds.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/investigations/2022/05/15/buffalo-shooting-gun-bought-bushmaster/

    I know …”thoughts and prayers” …this is despicable… how was he taken alive and in one piece by the cops when others… you know.

    AOC was once questioning someone from media in Washington DC about why the wordings “terrorists” is only used when it comes to Muslims and not domestic white supremacist attacks.

    This US gun culture of giving guns and rifles as a Xmas or birthday gift.

    We can go back to the Turner Diaries years ago about some future race war/apocalypse so whites should get ready now for it. The NRA… only whites are to have guns. (Interestingly, when black and Hispanic women were buying guns to protect themselves, then the NRA wanted the gun laws to crack down on that practice.)

    ScreenShot_20220517160039

    Biden… Are you sure about that?

    • This reply was modified 1 year, 11 months ago by Al-x.
    • This reply was modified 1 year, 11 months ago by Al-x.
  • #92266

    I’m sure Biden sincerely believes that, what he can do to stop it is another matter. Replacement theory is being spouted nightly on Fox News.

    2 users thanked author for this post.
  • #92288

    Most mass shootings don’t even make the news in big way, it only gets a lot of attention when there is a sensational detail. (Racist motives, terror related, a kid shooting up their school, etc). This year there have been over 200 mass shootings in the US

     

     

    https://www.gunviolencearchive.org/

  • #92292

    I’m sure Biden sincerely believes that, what he can do to stop it is another matter. Replacement theory is being spouted nightly on Fox News.

    Yes, but the wording of that caption given the history of the country and the real place white supremacist ideology had
    in the making of the US.

  • #92314

    So you’d be happier with a caption reading: “BIDEN: WHITE SUPREMACY IS AN INTEGRAL PART OF AMERICA”?

    1 user thanked author for this post.
  • #92317

    So you’d be happier with a caption reading: “BIDEN: WHITE SUPREMACY IS AN INTEGRAL PART OF AMERICA”?

    No, but as Gareth said what he can do to stop it is another matter. That headline when I read it was just…

    As for this Replacement Theory, part of it is related to sociology like the birth rate data by demographics, immigration etc. There is this message that the US will be less white, whites will lose power, minorities are coming for you, your jobs, and will take over, and you will be “replaced”.

    That message is scary to people…

  • #92318

    As for this Replacement Theory, part of it is related to sociology like the birth rate data by demographics, immigration etc. There is this message that the US will be less white, whites will lose power, minorities are coming for you, your jobs, and will take over, and you will be “replaced”.

    That message is scary to people…

    Nothing new, though:

  • #92319

    No, but as Gareth said what he can do to stop it is another matter. That headline when I read it was just…

    Biden can’t change history or erase historical prejudice. What he can do though is make an affirmative statement about whether he believes that prejudice has any place in modern American society, which is how I interpreted that headline.

    2 users thanked author for this post.
  • #92336

    There is this message that the US will be less white, whites will lose power, minorities are coming for you, your jobs, and will take over, and you will be “replaced”.

    I’m a dumb guy that replaced myself. 😂

    1 user thanked author for this post.
  • #92337

    There is this message that the US will be less white, whites will lose power, minorities are coming for you, your jobs, and will take over, and you will be “replaced”.

    I’m a dumb guy that replaced myself. 😂

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