Bob Kagan, perhaps the most prominent neocon is American academics, has written an article in the Atlantic saying the US and Israel have utterly lost the war in Iran.
And in other news, water is wet. ;)
In all seriousness, that was always going to be an unwinnable war. Benjamin Netanyahu has been wanting this fight for decades. Previous, US leaders always said no to him. Trump was finally in a susceptible enough state to say yes. Trump was told this was a bad idea, but he ignored his own military and intelligence people and pushed ahead with it. I saw something this morning where Bibi might leave Trump in the cold with the fight.
Meanwhile, Iran has been preparing for this fight for 47 years. And here’s the thing about Iran: They don’t have to have an outright military victory to win. All they need to do is endure and maintain pressure. Either the US taps out or the whole world collapses. Either is an acceptable outcome to them. Hell, they could have a fishing boat drag its anchor on the seafloor and destroy an underwater internet cable and several Middle Eastern countries lose 80% of their internet. The aftershocks from that would be global.
Make no mistake, Iran is in the driver’s seat.
Yeah for a country that is playing the defensive side in a war scenario all they have to do to win is endure.
Iran has a terrible human rights record and I sympathize with Iranians who want regime change, but it’s an interesting country. It’s a sort of mix of theocracy and democracy. All the candidates and laws have to be approved by a council of religious leaders. (Although some people say the military has the ultimate power in the country. I don’t know about that though) Something I wonder about is if you have such a council who have to approve of the candidates, wether you would still get leaders like Trump, or Hitler. That said, maybe Khomeiny isn’t much better.
